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2025-03-27 08:12:30

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Open Graph

title

Al kampary

description

image

site name

author

updated

2026-01-27 08:39:00

raw text

Al kampary skip to main | skip to sidebar Monday, March 9, 2009 Menakar resiko muslim Indonesia bila golput sukses Dari 222 juta rakyat (menurut sensus 2006) = 170 juta pemilih. Dengan hitung-hitungan bodoh aja maka, bila persentase muslim Indonesia adalah 86% maka jumlah pemilih muslim adalah 170 juta x 86% = 146 jutaan, sedangkan non muslim adalah 170 juta x 14% = 24 jutaan. Dengan pendekatan pessimistic non scientific, anggap saja 40% dari muslim itu golput. Dengan data dari persentase golput pilkada lalu, terlihat daerah-daerah yang mayoritas penduduknya muslim ternyata memiliki angka golput yang tinggi, rata-rata 40%, sedangkan daerah yang mayoritas non muslim seperti Bali, NTT, Maluku, dan Papua malah memiliki angka golput yang rendah dengan rata-rata 20%. Maka prediksi bila golput sukses dan berdasarkan hasil rata-rata maksimal total suara yang didapat partai Islam dalam beberapa pemilu sebelumnya, sekitar 20%, yang ikut memilih di pemilu mendatang 60% karena sele...

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