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title
Coding Horror
description
a blog by Jeff Atwood on programming and human factors / programming and human factors
image
site name
Coding Horror
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2025-12-23 16:04:13
raw text
Coding Horror Coding Horror programming and human factors 4 Mar 2022 The 2030 Self-Driving Car Bet It's my honor to announce that John Carmack and I have initiated a friendly bet of $10,000* to the 501(c)(3) charity of the winner’s choice: By January 1st, 2030, completely autonomous self-driving cars meeting SAE J3016 level 5 will be commercially available for passenger use in major cities. I am betting against , and John is betting for . I have another long-term bet: I bet @codinghorror $10k that by January 1st, 2030, completely autonomous self-driving cars meeting SAE J3016 level 5 will be commercially available for passenger use in major cities. \ — John Carmack (@ID_AA_Carmack) March 4, 2022 By “completely autonomous”, per the SAE level 5 definition , we mean the vehicle performs all driving tasks under all conditions – except in the case of natural disasters or emergencies. A human passenger enters the vehicle and selects a destination. Zero human atten...
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