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title
(no title)
description
image
site name
author
updated
2026-03-01 07:05:07
raw text
Fairfax County Margin: Prediction Revised Sharply Upward October 16, 2008 Two factors have caused me to revise my mid-September prediction. First, the final official registration totals have been tallied and while I had estimated 660,000 registrants, the actual number is slightly higher at 664,798. Second, the Obama wave in our area is apparent more than ever. Even my optimistic percentages seem conservative at this point. My new prediction is a margin of 139,567 votes. An admittedly almost absurd margin. Let me walk through how I arrived at it. My cautious estimate will include the adjustment to account for the slight change in the registration total and it will continue to assume the lower Kerry % among the subset that reflects the total that voted in 2004, while assuming 75% instead of 65% among new registrants. My optimistic estimate, meanwhile, will change dramatically as I bump Obama’s share up to 65% and McCain’s down to 33% reflecting the roughly 5-6% shift in this r...
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5 - benjaminsblog.anthonyjansen.com, tybeebeachfront3.easyjournal.com, blog.oxroadsouth.com, waldo.jaquith.org, sbe.state.va.us
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21 - mcclatchydc.com, lovendar.com, bigozine2.com, dolly-parton-live-from-london-lyrics.com, whiterabbitcult.com, goodtrah.ru, nuvid.ru, klpatofizio.ru, rebzabolel.ru, fyfk.ru, mozzo.ru, coii.ru, goif.ru, 7-west.org, kentonngo.com, raisingkaine.com, vbdems.org, thecommonwealthinstitute.org, vpap.org, virginiainterfaithcenter.org, vapoliticalblogs.com
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41 - s0.wp.com, wp.me, s1.wp.com, wordpress.com, notlarrysabato.typepad.com, anonymousisawoman.blogspot.com, baconsrebellion.blogspot.com, bypi.blogspot.com, crookedroad.wordpress.com, masonconservative.typepad.com, vivianpaige.wordpress.com, facebook.com, flickr.com
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