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title
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Jake VanderPlas
updated
2026-02-06 01:12:43
raw text
Home | Pythonic Perambulations Pythonic Perambulations About Archive The Waiting Time Paradox, or, Why Is My Bus Always Late? Thu 13 September 2018 Image Source: Wikipedia License CC-BY-SA 3.0 If you, like me, frequently commute via public transit, you may be familiar with the following situation: You arrive at the bus stop, ready to catch your bus: a line that advertises arrivals every 10 minutes. You glance at your watch and note the time... and when the bus finally comes 11 minutes later, you wonder why you always seem to be so unlucky. Naïvely, you might expect that if buses are coming every 10 minutes and you arrive at a random time, your average wait would be something like 5 minutes. In reality, though, buses do not arrive exactly on schedule, and so you might wait longer. It turns out that under some reasonable assumptions, you can reach a startling conclusion: When waiting for a bus that comes on average every 10 minutes, your average waiting time will be...
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