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Analyze Facts, Not Entrails

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Natstradamus | Analyze Facts, Not Entrails Skip to primary content Skip to secondary content Natstradamus Analyze Facts, Not Entrails Search Main menu Home About Post navigation ← Older posts Bryce Harper and the Three True Outcomes Posted on May 9, 2015 by ouij 1 As of this writing, Bryce Harper leads the National League in Walks. He leads the National League in Home Runs. He is fourth in the National League in Strikeouts. These, we know, are the Three True Outcomes of a plate appearance. “True,” because they involve only one interaction: the pitcher and the batter, with no intermeddling defense. They are the bedrock of Fielding-Independent Pitching analysis. Thus far in 2015, 56.6% of Bryce Harper’s plate appearances have ended in a True Outcome. That’s getting up into numbers we haven’t seen in DC since Adam Dunn was a Nat. Yet, surprisingly, doesn’t lead all baseball in what I’m calling True Outcome Percentage (Walks plus strikeouts plus hom...

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