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title
Locklin on science
description
In which I explain things interesting, remarkable or silly.
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Locklin on science
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2025-12-08 14:29:32
raw text
Locklin on science | In which I explain things interesting, remarkable or silly. Skip to content Skip to search - Accesskey = s Locklin on science The Birthday paradox as first lecture Posted in five minute university , fraud , statistical tools by Scott Locklin on February 15, 2024 The birthday paradox is one of those things that should be taught in grade school to banish superstition, bad statistics and mountebanks. Of course there are people who understand the birthday paradox and still consult astrologers, but knowledge of this fundamental idea of probability theory at least gives people a fighting chance. It’s dirt simple; if you ask people what the probability of there being a shared birthday in a group of n people is, they’ll probably estimate much too low. The probability of n people having the same birthday is a lot like calculating the probability of hands of cards. You end up with an equation like the following: n is number of people in the room, d is ...
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