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created at

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updated at

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Open Graph

title

world spirit sock puppet

description

Inclusive writings of Katja Grace

image

site name

world spirit sock puppet

author

Katja Grace

updated

2025-12-14 04:15:42

raw text

world spirit sock puppet | Inclusive writings of Katja Grace world spirit sock puppet About Search Subscribe EVERYTHING — WORLDLY POSITIONS — METEUPHORIC Survey of 2,778 AI authors: six parts in pictures Jan 05, 2024 Crossposted from AI Impacts blog The 2023 Expert Survey on Progress in AI is out , this time with 2778 participants from six top AI venues (up from about 700 and two in the 2022 ESPAI ), making it probably the biggest ever survey of AI researchers. People answered in October, an eventful fourteen months after the 2022 survey, which had mostly identical questions for comparison. Here is the preprint. And here are six interesting bits in pictures (with figure numbers matching paper, for ease of learning more): 1. Expected time to human-level performance dropped 1-5 decades since the 2022 survey. As always, our questions about ‘high level machine intelligence’ (HLMI) and ‘full automation of labor’ (FAOL) got very different answers...

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