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title
Bayesian Spectacles
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Powered by JASP
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Bayesian Spectacles
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updated
2025-12-14 12:39:55
raw text
Bayesian Spectacles – Powered by JASP × Menu Home Free Course Book Archive Artwork The Artist Artwork Library JASP About The Team Our Vision Privacy Policy A Brief Test of Your Bayesian Intuition: The Answer February 06 - 2024 In the previous post I asked the following question: Here is a test of your Bayesian intuition: Suppose you assign a binomial chance parameter θ a beta(2,2) prior distribution. You anticipate collecting two observations. What is your expected posterior distribution? NB. ChatGPT 3.5, Bard, and the majority of my fellow Bayesians get this wrong. The answer will be revealed in… read more A Brief Test of Your Bayesian Intuition January 22 - 2024 Here is a test of your Bayesian intuition: Suppose you assign a binomial chance parameter θ a beta(2,2) prior distribution. You anticipate collecting two observations. What is your expected posterior distribution? NB. ChatGPT 3.5, Bard, and the majority of my fellow B...
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