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The least bad argument for NeoFisherism - TheMoneyIllusion

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There is no good argument for the NeoFisherian claim that rising nominal interest rates represent an expansionary monetary policy. But if forced to defend that position I would focus on long-term inte

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TheMoneyIllusion

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2025-12-22 21:23:55

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TheMoneyIllusion Home About this blog Bio FAQs Privacy Policy TheMoneyIllusion   A slightly off-center perspective on monetary problems. The least bad argument for NeoFisherism There is no good argument for the NeoFisherian claim that rising nominal interest rates represent an expansionary monetary policy. But if forced to defend that position I would focus on long-term interest rates. That’s one area where the NeoFisherians are usually correct. Long-term rates are more likely to reflect the condition of the economy (expected NGDP growth), while short-term rates are more likely to reflect the liquidity effect of monetary policy. I think it’s safe to assume that SF Fed President Mary Daly is not a NeoFisherian: San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said that recent rises in bond yields were akin to a rate hike. Daly said increasing bond yields showed that financial conditions were tight, “diminishing” the need for further Federal Reserve interest rate hik...

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