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2025-10-16 02:41:54
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Source: El FinancieroThe El Financiero poll published this week says the current presidential race is Sheinbaum 48, Gálvez 32. That is a 16 point gap, which is enormous, but is also closer than any other poll. The Oraculus poll of polls database shows most polls give Sheinbaum a 20 to 30 point lead.So the El Financiero poll is a bit of an outlier, but let's take it as accurate just to work through a best-case scenario for Mexico's opposition. What does this poll say about the state of the race?Gálvez’s approval is rising, but still net-negative. The opposition candidate has 37% approval and 44% disapproval. As more people have learned about Gálvez, her approval rating has gone up. However, a negative campaign by the AMLO government and some strong party loyalty from Morena voters have also increased her disapproval rating. That said, I read these numbers as saying Galvez is someone who can improve her standing in the coming months, particularly as she gets more air time in the media an...
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