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2025-11-03 15:35:12
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2025-11-03 15:35:13
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https://peterhalligan.substack.com/p/20-million-dead-or-20-million-saved
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In the autumn of 2022 the Lancet published this article:Global impact of the first year of COVID-19 vaccination: a mathematical modelling study - PubMed (nih.gov)Amongst its findings was this:“This estimate rose to 19·8 million (95% Crl 19·1-20·4) deaths from COVID-19 averted when we used excess deaths as an estimate of the true extent of the pandemic, representing a global reduction of 63% in total deaths (19·8 million of 31·4 million) during the first year of COVID-19 vaccination. In COVAX Advance Market Commitment countries, we estimated that 41% of excess mortality (7·4 million [95% Crl 6·8-7·7] of 17·9 million deaths) was averted.”The piece had these Declarations of Interest:“Declaration of interests ACG has received personal consultancy fees from HSBC, GlaxoSmithKline, and WHO related to COVID-19 epidemiology and from The Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria for work unrelated to COVID-19.ACG is a non-remunerated member of scientific advisory boards for Moderna and...
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Peter Halligan
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