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Donald Trump’s return to the White House as America’s 47th president is setting the stage for major shifts in U.S. foreign policy—and Somalia and Somaliland are likely to be front and center. A second Trump term could bring a complete U.S. troop withdrawal from Somalia, cuts to financial aid, and—potentially—a historic move to recognize Somaliland as an independent nation.Somalia: Bracing for Tough TimesTrump’s first term gives us a pretty good idea of what could be in store for Somalia. Between 2017 and 2021, his administration carried out more than 200 drone strikes in Somalia—more than the combined total of the previous 12 years. But at the same time, he pulled nearly all U.S. troops out of the country by January 2021. While President Biden later sent 450 troops back to Somalia, Trump has been vocal about his commitment to ending “forever wars.” If he follows through in his second term, we could see a full withdrawal of U.S. forces, leaving Somalia to rely on an “over-the-horizon” a...
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